One other Take a look at the Two Athlete Restrict: Who Loses Out?


This knowledge was compiled previous to the beginning of the 2024 Paris Olympic Video games and doesn’t embrace outcomes from that meet.

Earlier than the Olympics, we posed the query of whether or not the ladies’s Olympic qualifying instances have been tougher than the boys’s. A 50-50 cut up between the boys’s and ladies’s occasions is the aim, however the Paris entries fell barely quick: 45.8% of swimmers will compete on the Olympics.

Within the feedback, one other query was introduced up: are elite feminine athletes extra concentrated in sure international locations? If true, this might imply that even when there have been an analogous distribution in athletes who achieved the ladies’s and males’s cuts, extra high girls have been left at dwelling because of the two athlete per nation restrict.

For this strategy, we took a have a look at the highest 14 athletes per occasion within the Paris qualifying interval. Then, we discovered the share of athletes from every nation inside these rankings. Lastly, we summed the chances for the highest 5 nations, separated by gender.

Within the girls’s occasions, these international locations ended up being the US, Australia, China, Canada, and Japan. It was an analogous record for the boys: U.S.A., Australia, Japan, China, and Nice Britain.

Within the girls’s occasions, these 5 international locations accounted for 69.8% of the highest 14 rankings. For the boys, it was solely 47.9%. When you slender it to the highest three international locations, this disparity will get even bigger: 58.6% for the ladies and 34.4% for the boys.

This means that there are extra high 14 entries “misplaced” within the girls’s aspect than the boys’s, and will account for the disparity between occasions.

This technique doesn’t account for distinctive athletes within the rankings.

Fast Hits:

  • The U.S. is the one nation to have had six athletes throughout the high 14 of a number of occasions throughout the qualifying interval, all in girls’s occasions: 100/200 again, 100 fly, and 800 free.
  • Australia had 5 athletes within the high 14 within the girls’s 100 freestyle.
  • Germany was the one nation with a number of high 14 athletes within the 1500 freestyle with 4. Each different nation had one apiece.
  • The ladies’s 100 backstroke had the fewest nations represented with 5: USA, Australia, Canada, China, and France. Within the Olympic last, solely 4 nations have been represented.



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