Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
14:20 Southwell – Streak Lightning (Every-Manner)
16:03 Tramore – Gateau De Miel
16:15 Pontefract – The Cookstown Cafu (Every-Manner)
17:15 Pontefract – Tenerife Sunshine
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
A category six handicap of 13 runners, none of which gained final outing and solely three have gained all season, will for a lot of of you hardly be the perfect medium to have a guess on, however there’s an upside as such a set-up matches superbly the ethos of this ‘worth’ column. As there are at the least six or seven each-way performs at double determine costs we may run with.
Tremendous Hit stays comparatively unexposed to his rivals and ran a good race over the course and distance three outings again and can certainly play an element right here if younger Kyle McHugh can settle him slightly bit higher; there’s actually nothing improper along with his handicap score. Thanks Dad, Petra Celera and the veteran Airshow even have claims of kinds, however in the long run I made a decision to choose Ruth Carr skilled runner STREAK LIGHTNING.
Simply as irritating as the vast majority of his rivals, this seven-year-old has a greater strike charge than most (six wins from 26 and positioned on six events) and has proven glimpses this season that the fireplace nonetheless burns vivid. A score 8lbs under his final successful mark additionally helps regardless that he’s the type to want a lot to go his means by a contest.
I used to be fortunate sufficient to go the County Waterford observe a couple of years in the past and like many programs elsewhere you solely actually get the topography of it whenever you see it within the ‘flesh’. For instance Hexham is difficult to climb on foot on the rise to the successful submit, which you don’t see on TV, whereas comparable remarks apply to the curler coaster journey of Hamilton Park and even Brighton which is acutely in opposition to the grain from simply over two furlongs out.
Tramore is massively downhill from the top of the again straight and regardless that the run residence is brief, it’s stiff and a number of other races this week on the observe have modified massively inside the ultimate two furlongs. So, a course winner is a bonus right here and Pure Breeze and Smitty Bacall fill that class however not over this journey. A mark of 99 nonetheless offers the in type Tullyveery Lad an opportunity, with the competent Paddy Hanlon on board, and he may simply be value a saver whereas True Religion would have a declare primarily based on his newcomers chase win, however that was a while in the past which leads me within the path of what seems to be like Henry de Bromhead’s second string GATEAU DE MIEL behind Garde La Peche.
A winner of a newcomers chase at Fairyhouse on the again finish of 2022, he’s since been positioned off 118 and was subsequently given some robust duties behind the likes of Dersertmore Home and Mars Harper. A full 8lbs decrease than for these two runs, that is his best job so far, and any help out there could be very attention-grabbing.
The irritating Zozimus lastly received again on the successful path (second win in his forty second try) when ridden a lot nearer to the tempo final outing over course and distance and successful comfortably. Already effectively weighted for that run a 4lbs penalty is neither right here nor there on this race and if he’s in the identical type then clearly an enormous run will be anticipated with the state of affairs of giving weight to lesser horses extra his area.
However, certainly the share name is to go in opposition to the highest weight and play with one of many different two course and distance winners. Kevin Ryan’s cost THE COOKSTOWN CAFU has not troubled the decide since successful right here in Might ‘23 in a category 4 off a score of 79, and certainly took 9 additional runs earlier than he was even positioned once more off 74 at Carlisle two begins again.
His newest run at York was at the least on a par along with his Cumbrian enterprise, as he ran Craven to a few lengths in a contest with a deal extra energy in depth. Set to run off 73 right here, in his first run in a category 5 occasion for 2 years and appears the each-way various to the highest weight and Naval Academy.
The Grand Visir has appeared prepared for retirement for the previous 18 months having appeared sluggish and never in love with the sport of late, albeit he’s been additionally set some stiff duties. Then out of the blue the veteran confirmed much more sparkle final outing, staying on properly behind the equally effectively handicapped Ranch Hand, within the Shergar Cup final week. I do know connections would dearly like to exit with a victory with him and solely a pound greater right here than eight days in the past makes him an apparent participant.
Though there aren’t any entrance runners on this subject of seven, six of the entries prefer to race prominently and/or pull laborious, so I think there gained’t be a scarcity of tempo and that might swimsuit the Charlie Johnston cost TENERIFE SUNSHINE who can settle in these races. He nonetheless going properly on the three furlong pole within the two and a half mile Goodwood Stakes earlier than receiving a hefty bump which ended his possibilities. Solely a pound above his final successful mark and with floor and a shorter journey in his favour he will get the nod over the previous boy and the brand new child on the block, Godsend. The final named is a typical Sir Mark Prescott bloomer, he’s gained 4 of his final 5 begins starting from a gap mark of 58 to his present score of 79. This seems to be his hardest job so far in opposition to some hardy previous sprinters, and though he’s the probably winner, his worth will replicate that.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Suggestions
14:20 Southwell – Streak Lightning (Every-Manner)
16:03 Tramore – Gateau De Miel
16:15 Pontefract – The Cookstown Cafu (Every-Manner)
17:15 Pontefract – Tenerife Sunshine
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
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