Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend finest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Examine again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that can assist you money a couple of bets and make some cash.
Noel’s picks have been featured nearly in every single place horse racing picks may be discovered, together with in print within the Every day Racing Type, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Further, NYRA’s SatuTalking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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Six Newbie Betting Instruments
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The Aqueduct fall meet involves an finish this weekend, however not earlier than internet hosting its finest race day of the season with 4 graded stakes races on the docket this Saturday topped by the $500,000, Grade 2 Cigar Mile Handicap Offered by Twinspires.com. Aqueduct’s 10-race Saturday program additionally features a trio of supporting function races together with a pair of necessary exams for 2-year-olds – the $250,000, Grade 2 Remsen Stakes and the $250,000, Grade 2 Demoiselle Stakes for fillies – in addition to the $200,000, Grade 3 Go For Wand Stakes, which is the filly and mare counterpart to the Cigar Mile at one mile. For this weekend’s winners, let’s deal with Saturday’s stakes for older horses, the Cigar Mile and the Go For Wand. If we are able to decide the winners of those two key races, we’ll be nicely on our method to a giant day on the Massive A this Saturday. Benefit from the races.
Saturday, Dec. 7
Aqueduct, Race 4, $200,000 Go For Wand Stakes, put up time 1:08 p.m. ET
The Grade 3 Go For Wand Stakes stands out as the considerably ignored stakes race on Saturday’s Aqueduct card because it goes as race 4, nevertheless it has drawn an enchanting eight-horse area and shall be nicely price a wager or two, or three, early within the day. The ignored horse within the ignored race shall be #8 Shidabhuti, who may supply a uncommon probability to wager a Chad Brown-trained winner at an overlay value on the tote board. Brown’s different entrant, #3 Occult, doubtless would be the favourite after operating second final day out behind Idiomatic within the Grade 1 Juddmonte Spinster Stakes at Keeneland, however Shidabhuti has simply as a lot upside going a one-turn mile as Occult does, and the worth on Shidabhuti shall be far more engaging if you’re betting to win. The highest feather in her cap thus far in her profession was a win within the Grade 3 Distaff Stakes at seven furlongs earlier this yr at Aqueduct. Three of the contenders on this area are coming off lengthy layoffs of between six and 7 months together with #1 Tizzy within the Sky, #5 Comparative, and #7 Ain’t Broke. Of the three, the one who may very well be prepared and ready at this distance vs. this area is Ain’t Broke, who was proper there with Shidabhuti in April’s Distaff Stakes at Aqueduct and already owns a pair of huge wins at this distance and monitor for coach Linda Rice.
The Play: Guess on #8 Shidabhuti (9-2) to win and play her in exacta and trifecta containers with #3 Occult (5-2) and #7 Ain’t Broke (5-1).
Aqueduct, Race 9, $500,000 Cigar Mile Handicap Offered by Twinspires.com, put up time 3:35 p.m. ET
The headline race of the day on Saturday is the operating of the Grade 2 Cigar Mile Handicap, a one-turn mile that has drawn a aggressive 11-horse area and shall be a superb betting race. #11 Publish Time has received 9 of his 14 profession races and is in career-best kind at current coming off a runner-up end within the Massive Ass Followers Breeders’ Cup Filth Mile in his final begin. He received the Grade 2 Carter Stakes Offered by NYRA Bets earlier this yr at seven furlongs on this monitor and is an apparent main contender within the Cigar Mile because the doable favourite. One horse that has a legit probability to knock off Publish Time on this spot is #7 Locked, a 3-year-old who regarded like he could be a critical Kentucky Derby Offered by Woodford Reserve contender primarily based on a win in final fall’s Grade 1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity adopted by a 3rd in final yr’s FanDuel Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Offered by TAA, however was as an alternative derailed by an harm that saved him out of motion for nearly all of his 2024 marketing campaign. He returned from the sidelines with a 7 ½-length prep race win going seven furlongs right here at Aqueduct on Oct. 19, serving discover that he’ll be higher than ever for coach Todd Pletcher on this second race off the layoff. Pretty much as good as Locked is in two-turn routes, you may make the argument primarily based on his Beyer Velocity Figures that he is perhaps even higher round one flip. #10 Coastal Mission is a win machine that has visited the winner’s circle 14 instances in his profession together with his final two races which had been each spectacular stakes wins at a mile. You can also make an argument that he deserves a spot in your trifecta containers forward of #1 E-book’em Danno, who’s a Grade 1 winner however could also be stretched to his most at this distance of 1 mile in his first profession try in opposition to older horses.
The Play: Guess #7 Locked (9-2) to win and play him in exacta and trifecta containers with #10 Coastal Mission (12-1) and #11 Publish Time (7-2).